Mythic price check – Rise of the Eldrazi, part three

Time for another check-in on Rise. I’m going to give up on the clutter and just start listing only the ChannelFireball prices, as I’ve noticed they’re generally being more responsive than SCG appears to be. As before, I’ll list the current price, this time follow by the prior two prices so we can follow the trend.
Here’s the first installment of this series
Here’s the second installment of this series
Now, on to the prices:

  • All is Dust – $12.99 ($13.79) ($14.98)
  • Cast Through Time – $1.99 ($1.32) ($1.98)
  • Emrakul, the Aeons Torn – $9.94 ($11.28) ($14.98)
  • Gideon Jura – $35.99 ($39.98) ($39.98)
  • Hellcarver Demon – $3.98 ($5.29) ($9.99)
  • Kargan Dragonlord – $7.72 ($9.28) ($8.98)
  • Khalni Hydra – $5.99 ($4.99) ($6.98)
  • Kozilek, Butcher of Truth – $19.86 ($23.44) ($28.99)
  • Lighthouse Chronologist – $4.99 ($4.79) ($5.98)
  • Nirkana Revenant – $4.46 ($5.29) ($6.99)
  • Sarkhan the Mad – $14.66 ($16.89) ($18.98)
  • Transcendent Master – $11.99 (sold out) ($5.48)
  • Ulamog, the Infinite Gyre – $7.26 ($8.24) ($9.98)
  • Vengevine – $29.98 ($24.99) ($18.98)

So the general downward trend continues. The Eldrazi are all toning down, with a particular lack of love for Ulamog, the uncomfortable middle child between game-ender Emrakul and potentially castable pal Kozilek. I still don’t see Kozy as a $20 card, but the general valuation of the three Eldrazi relative to each other makes sense.
Big gains go to Transcendent Master and Vengevine. I do think people are overrating the breadth of Vengevine’s applicability. It’s powerful in the kind of aggro deck that runs one drops and Rangers. If, on the other hand, you’re building toward dream cascades off of Bloodbraid Elf, you’re almost certainly making a mistake. I tend to think of it as a slightly less effectiveSolifuge that sometimes (sometimes) comes back. I expect the price will even out for Vengevine in short order, especially given that people will be drafting a lot of Rise-Rise-Rise in the coming months.
There’s nothing I really think should go up in price among the mythics. TM is certainly a powerful card, but it’s not the immediate game shifter that Baneslayer is, and it probably fits in fewer decks in smaller numbers. It’s important to think, when gauging likely card prices, how many of a given card people will run, in addition to how often they will run it.
With that, I’ll go back to writing about non-finance topics, and spectating at mythic prices as they drop.

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